10th Anniversary Show

We have more readers here than video-watchers, so let’s just discuss the last ten years, rather than do a show.

When this blog started ten years ago today, I saw a great potential for realtors to use blogging to demonstrate their talents and abilities.  I thought if I could just get a few months’ head start then maybe I could beat the rush.

The rush of realtor blogs never materialized.

But as we moved through 2006 and 2007, it was clear to data-driven consumers that there was trouble brewing.  Real estate blogs written by non-realtors were flourishing, and I started commenting on the bubble bursting – and backed it up with MLS data.

The blogs that helped me build an audience:

Ben’s blog, with lots of help from CA Renter, a local commenter:

http://thehousingbubbleblog.com/index.htm

Rich Toscano’s blog, where everyone got into fights with powayseller:

http://piggington.com/

Calculated Risk and Bill McBride, who ran many of my foreclosure videos:

http://www.calculatedriskblog.com/

and Bubble Markets Inventory Tracking:

http://bubbletracking.blogspot.com/

I have met the authors of these blogs, and expressed my appreciation in person. But I’d like to thank them publicly for their dedication to educating the consumer, because without them, bubbleinfo.com would not exist today.

As the bubble began popping and the mass media got more interested, a writer for the L.A.Times named Peter Hong took interest in bubbleinfo.  He came to visit one day and rode around with me while we discussed the market and saw some of the evidence.

He had the great Don Bartletti contact me for a photo shoot, and the next thing I know, I’m on the front page of the Los Angeles times – above the fold!

http://articles.latimes.com/2009/apr/02/business/fi-real-estate2

jim the realtor

My phone started ringing at 7am that day, and the first call was from ABC News Nightline.  A couple of weeks later, their reporter Vicky Mabrey spent 1.5 days with me, and the clients who were featured in the video ended up buying a handful of houses from us – even though I had never met them before the day we shot the video!

The article in the Times and the Nightline show both ran in April, 2009, which was the same month we hired Richard Morgan to assist us with helping buyers.  It also happened to be the low point of the San Diego Case-Shiller index!

The added media exposure, combined with the bottoming of the market caused the blog readership to explode.  We were working 100+ hours per week and scrambling like crazy to help everyone we could!  Richard and I have closed over 150 sales with people who came from the blog – thank you very much!

Our peak year was 2011, when we closed 73 sales, and a third of them were with blog readers.  Back then, the Google Analytics for bubbleinfo.com was showing around 12,000 unique users each month.

But in 2012 there was a gigantic shift in the market that changed things forever – the banks stopped foreclosing.

We had hired two great assistants and thought that, between REO listings and blog buyers, we’d be pumping out 70-100 sales every year.

But in 2013, we received no REO listings.  So I began a deliberate shift in the content of the blog in hopes of appealing more to sellers.

It was a big gamble.

Sellers are notorious for their lack of investigation – they just want their price, and grab an agent they think can deliver.

But I believed that showing pertinent data AND demonstrating my abilities would cause some sellers to hire me to assist them.  It hasn’t been an easy road, but 10 of the 21 listings that I closed last year were with sellers who came from the blog!

I say it hasn’t been easy because I think I have lost some blog readers who were interested in buying, but haven’t seen enough buyer-related content here.  But I still work with buyers!

Of my closed sales over the last 12 months, I’ve maintained about a 50/50 split between sellers and buyers.  I hope that buyers can benefit from all the content here, and that you contact me when ready – I want to help you!

But I have to keep a steady dose of seller-related content to keep sellers interested, and keep demonstrating why you should hire me to sell your home.

It has been a great ten years!  With over 5,200 blog posts and 2,000+ videos, it has been a fantastic outlet for me to share an insider’s view of the marketplace with you.  Thank you for being here, and let’s all stick around for another ten!

If you, or someone you know, is thinking of moving, I’d sure appreciate a call!

Get Good Help

The difference is that when you hire me to sell your house – you get me, a long-time veteran of bidding wars and how to handle them with specific strategies so you sell for top dollar.

Anybody can shuffle multiple offers – my skill is getting them to compete against each other and drive the price higher.

Buubleinfo’s 10th Anniversary

September 24, 2005 was a Saturday, and early that morning I started a free account on Squarespace to begin this blog.

At the time, Arnold Schwarzenegger was our governor, Kayla had just started her freshman year of high school, and I had more hair!

kayla and dad

I had already been warning sellers that this party wasn’t going to last, and I thought that if I could produce a steady stream of data to make my case, they might be more inclined to believe it, and take the appropriate action.

Boy, was I wrong.

But home buyers were interested in the locally-based data, and thanks to a few breaks from Rich Toscano and Bill McBride, the audience began to grow.

Ten years later, here we are!

Join us on the evening of September 24, 2015 to talk about the good old days!  I will practice on Google Hangouts between now and then, and we’ll do a live broadcast to discuss the last ten years.

Have a specific topic you’d like to cover?  Favorite moments? Video clips?

Leave your ideas here in the comment section, and we’ll build a show – and hopefully have some special guests too!

‘Housing Shortage’

Realtor Conference Lawrence Yun 007

From the WSJ:

http://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-existing-home-sales-rise-to-pre-recession-pace-1440079684

WASHINGTON—Sales of existing homes climbed in July to their prerecession pace, but low inventory and higher prices threaten to curtail those gains heading into the fall.

Existing-home sales rose 2% last month from June to a seasonally adjusted rate of 5.59 million, the National Association of Realtors said Thursday. Last month’s sales pace was the highest since February 2007 and 10.3% higher than a year earlier.

Despite relatively steady gains in home sales in the past year, thinning supply and high prices loom as headwinds that could slow the recovery. As well, mortgage rates could be poised to rise when the Federal Reserve raises short-term interest rates, potentially as soon as next month.

Total housing inventory fell 0.4% at the end of July to 2.24 million existing homes available for sale, 4.7% lower than a year ago. At the current pace of sales it would take 4.8 months to exhaust the supply of homes on the market, down from 5.6 months a year ago, the NAR said Thursday.

Jim Klinge, a real-estate agent in San Diego, said inventory is low in his area because residents are reluctant to move to another town or state. In prior years, high prices would encourage some people to sell and leave town, he said.

He said every new listing generates intense interest from buyers, such as a three-bedroom home he listed Saturday night at $579,000 for which he had already received 30 queries by Thursday.

“We have to recognize that we have a broad-based housing shortage,” said Lawrence Yun, the NAR’s chief economist. “Home builders have been essentially out of the game or underproducing” since the crash.

The median sale price for a previously owned home slipped slightly to $234,000 from June’s $236,300, but is still 5.6% higher than a year earlier. July’s prices mark the 41st straight month of year-over-year price gains.

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